Fantasy Golf PGA Roosevelt’s Hole In One – Wednesday July 10th 2019

Looking for help with your PGA lineups? In Roosevelt’s Hole In One, we provide our recommended plays for Draft, DraftKings and FanDuel for this weekend’s PGA event!

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If you have questions, the best way to reach me is within our Facebook group The DFS Masters.

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Last week was a decent week for me. Nothing extraordinarily but I was able to profit of both DraftKings and Draft. Two site profit is always going to be welcomed. On Draft I had a good amount of Bryson DeChambeau who finished tied for 2nd place and none of my highest owned golfers missed the cut. On DraftKings I played a lineup in the $5 contest that has 4 golfers that made the top 10.

This week the PGA Tour heads to the Midwest in Illinois for the John Deere Classic!  The TPC Deere run is a Par 71 course that measures over 7,200 yards. It’s a relatively easy course so expect lots of birdies and a cut line under Par. Approach play and putting will be important here so look for golfers who do those things well. Top 70 and ties continue after two rounds. The MDF rule is in effect if more than 78 golfers make the cut.

Here are the key factors I am looking at this week in order of priority:

  • Vegas odds to win
  • Strokes Gained: Approach
  • Birdie or Better Percentage
  • Strokes Gained: Putting
  • Strokes Gained: Off The Tee
  • Proximity
  • Recent Form
  • Course History

Here are the tools that I use this week:

Chris Durell PGA Spreadsheet

Draft Top 10 Plays

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On Draft, your primary concern is to draft the best golfers in the field regardless of position. A great way to assess that is to start with Vegas Odds to Win. Then look at the key statistics that are important to you and move golfers up or down as you see fit. Here are my top 10 plays on Draft:

  1. Joaquin Niemann
  2. Sungjae Im
  3. Viktor Hovland
  4. Collin Morikawa
  5. Zach Johnson
  6. Charles Howell
  7. Brian Harman
  8. Matthew Wolff
  9. Lucas Glover
  10. Daniel Berger

DraftKings & FanDuel Plays

On DraftKings and FanDuel salary is important. A player can be a good player but a bad play on DraftKings or FanDuel because of their price. To cash you need to build a lineup that you feel confident that you can get all 6 players through the cut. Look at the key factors that I have listed above and then look at their cut percentages. You want golfers that rarely miss the cut if you are building a lineup to cash. If you are building a lineup to win, you need the winner and you need to get as many golfers in the top 10 as possible. Therefore when building those types of lineups, look for golfers that have high upside. I’m going to give you a list of both types of golfers below. Use this as a starting point for your lineup and then use the spreadsheet and the categories that I highlighted above to fill out the rest of your spots.

Golfers That Should Make The Cut

  • Joaquin Niemann – 10.2k DK 10.9k FD
  • Zach Johnson – 9.6k DK 10.3k FD
  • Charles Howell – 9.5k DK 11.3k FD
  • Peter Malnati – 7.9k DK 9.1k FD
  • Vaughn Taylor – 7.7k DK 8.9k FD
  • Cameron Triangle – 7.7k DK 9.1k FD
  • Sam Ryder – 7.5k DK 8.9k FD

Golfers That Have High Upside

These are the golfers that have more risk but have the potential to exceed their price tag:

  • Collin Morikawa – 10.7k DK 11.7k FD
  • Brian Harman – 9.4k DK 11k FD
  • Dylan Frittelli – 7.6k DK 10.4k FD
  • Jhonattan Vegas – 7.4k DK 8.5k FD
  • Ryan Armour – 7.3k DK 8.9k FD
  • Sepp Straka – 7.3k DK 8.7k FD
  • Doc Redman – 7.2k DK 8.3k FD

When building my lineups one of the things that Kevin Correia taught me is “Who do you have in your lineup that’s going to win?” So in other words, make sure at least one golfer in your lineup is a golfer that you believe can win this event. It’s almost impossible to win a GPP without having the winning golfer. The only time that happens is when some unknown player that’s like 1% owned wins. So make sure you have a “winner” in your lineups.

Also, look at the spreadsheet that I attached above. It has all of the key statistics that I mentioned above. These golfers I have listed here are just some examples. If you look at the spreadsheet and look at the key statistics that I highlighted you can find other good players both for the make the cut category and for the high upside with more risk category.

Good luck!

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