Looking for help with your PGA lineups? In Roosevelt’s Hole In One, we provide our recommended plays for Draft, DraftKings and FanDuel for this weekend’s PGA event!
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If you have questions, the best way to reach me is within our Facebook group The DFS Masters.
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Last week I was on vacation so I didn’t play any fantasy golf. Nate Lashley put on a clinic finishing with -25 to win the Rocket Mortgage Classic. I’ve recommended Lashley several times this year already so of course he does this the one week I don’t play. That’s DFS for you!
This week we have the 3M Open which is a brand new event! Course History obviously doesn’t exist for a new event so you will have to go by the key statistics for this one. This is a Par 71 course just under 7,500 yards. It has some long Par 5s and Par 4s so bombers are definitely the types of golfers you want to target here. Top 70 and ties continue after two rounds. The MDF rule is in effect if more than 78 golfers make the cut.
Here are the key factors I am looking at this week in order of priority:
- Vegas odds to win
- Strokes Gained: Off The Tee
- Strokes Gained: Approach
- Birdie or Better Percentage
- Strokes Gained: Putting
- Greens In Regulation
- Driving Distance
- Recent Form
- Course History
Here are the tools that I use this week:
Draft Top 10 Plays
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On Draft, your primary concern is to draft the best golfers in the field regardless of position. A great way to assess that is to start with Vegas Odds to Win. Then look at the key statistics that are important to you and move golfers up or down as you see fit. Here are my top 10 plays on Draft:
- Brooks Koepka
- Jason Day
- Hideki Matsuyama
- Bryson DeChambeau
- Patrick Reed
- Tony Finau
- Rory Sabbatini
- Joaquin Niemann
- Keegan Bradley
- Viktor Hovland
DraftKings & FanDuel Plays
On DraftKings and FanDuel salary is important. A player can be a good player but a bad play on DraftKings or FanDuel because of their price. To cash you need to build a lineup that you feel confident that you can get all 6 players through the cut. Look at the key factors that I have listed above and then look at their cut percentages. You want golfers that rarely miss the cut if you are building a lineup to cash. If you are building a lineup to win, you need the winner and you need to get as many golfers in the top 10 as possible. Therefore when building those types of lineups, look for golfers that have high upside. I’m going to give you a list of both types of golfers below. Use this as a starting point for your lineup and then use the spreadsheet and the categories that I highlighted above to fill out the rest of your spots.
Golfers That Should Make The Cut
- Hideki Matsuyama – 11.1k DK 11.5k FD
- Tony Finau – 9.2k DK 10.6k FD
- Keegan Bradley – 8.8k DK 9.8k FD
- Scott Piercy – 8.2k DK 9.6k FD
- Adam Hadwin – 8.1k DK 9.6k FD
- Nick Watney – 7.9k DK 9.4k FD
- Lucas Glover 7.7k DK 9.4k FD
Golfers That Have High Upside
These are the golfers that have more risk but have the potential to exceed their price tag:
- Sungjae Im 9k DK 9.8k FD
- Charles Howell 8.4k DK 9.6k FD
- Cameron Champ 7.5k DK 9k FD
- Luke List 7.4k DK 8.8k FD
- Sam Burns 7.3k DK 8.5k FD
- Wyndham Clark 7.1k DK 8.3k FD
- Kyoung-Hoon Lee 6.9k DK 8.3k FD
When building my lineups one of the things that Kevin Correia taught me is “Who do you have in your lineup that’s going to win?” So in other words, make sure at least one golfer in your lineup is a golfer that you believe can win this event. It’s almost impossible to win a GPP without having the winning golfer. The only time that happens is when some unknown player that’s like 1% owned wins. So make sure you have a “winner” in your lineups.
Also, look at the spreadsheet that I attached above. It has all of the key statistics that I mentioned above. These golfers I have listed here are just some examples. If you look at the spreadsheet and look at the key statistics that I highlighted you can find other good players both for the make the cut category and for the high upside with more risk category.