Fantasy Golf PGA Roosevelt’s Hole In One – Wednesday June 12th, 2019

Looking for help with your PGA lineups? In Roosevelt’s Hole In One, we provide our recommended plays for Draft, Drafters, DraftKings and FanDuel for this weekend’s PGA event!

Dustin Johnson Wikipedia

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It’s the US Open! The Third Major on the PGA Tour! This week the Tour moves on to Pebble Beach located just south of the Bay Area in Northern California! We have course history for both this course as well as the US Open. However, I personally will not be looking at course History this week. The course is configured differently from the other events hosted here and the US Open is held on different courses so to me it’s not a stat worth looking at. For this event you want to target golfers with a strong game all around.

Here are the key factors I am looking at this week in order of priority:

  • Vegas odds to win
  • Strokes Gained: Approach
  • Bogey Avoidance
  • Greens In Regulation
  • Strokes Gained: Putting
  • Strokes Gained: Off The Tee
  • Driving Distance
  • Recent Form

Here are the tools that I use this week:

Chris Durell PGA Spreadsheet

Draft & Drafters Top 10 Plays

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On Draft and Drafters, your primary concern is to draft the best golfers in the field regardless of position. A great way to assess that is to start with Vegas Odds to Win. Then look at the key statistics that are important to you and move golfers up or down as you see fit. Here are my top 10 plays on Draft and Drafters:

  1. Dustin Johnson
  2. Rory Mcllroy
  3. Brooks Koepka
  4. Tiger Woods
  5. Patrick Cantlay
  6. Jordan Spieth
  7. Justin Rose
  8. Rickie Fowler
  9. Jon Rahm
  10. Justin Thomas

DraftKings & FanDuel Plays

On DraftKings and FanDuel salary is important. A player can be a good player but a bad play on DraftKings or FanDuel because of their price. To cash you need to build a lineup that you feel confident that you can get all 6 players through the cut. Look at the key factors that I have listed above and then look at their cut percentages. You want golfers that rarely miss the cut if you are building a lineup to cash. If you are building a lineup to win, you need the winner and you need to get as many golfers in the top 10 as possible. Therefore when building those types of lineups, look for golfers that have high upside. I’m going to give you a list of both types of golfers below. Use this as a starting point for your lineup and then use the spreadsheet and the categories that I highlighted above to fill out the rest of your spots.

Golfers That Should Make The Cut

These are the golfers that I’m targeting with confidence on making the cut:

  • Dustin Johnson – 11.3k DK 12.2k FD
  • Rickie Fowler – 9.5k DK 11.1k FD
  • Hideki Matsuyama – 8.8k DK 10.4k FD
  • Gary Woodland – 8k DK 9.9k FD
  • Webb Simpson – 7.7k DK 9.6k FD
  • Ian Poulter – 7.5k DK 9.3k FD
  • Rafa Cabrera Bello – 7.3k DK 8.9k FD

Golfers That Have High Upside

These are the golfers that have more risk but have the potential to exceed their price tag:

  • Justin Rose – 9.7k DK 11.6k FD
  • Justin Thomas – 9.3k DK 11.4k FD
  • Bryson DeChambeau – 8.1k DK 10.7k FD
  • Sergio Garcia – 7.8k DK 9.8k FD
  • Henrik Stenson – 7.6k DK 9.5k FD
  • Emiliano Grillo – 7.4k DK 8.9k FD
  • Jim Furyk – 7.2k DK 8.7k FD

When building my lineups one of the things that Kevin Correia taught me is “Who do you have in your lineup that’s going to win?” So in other words, make sure at least one golfer in your lineup is a golfer that you believe can win this event. It’s almost impossible to win a GPP without having the winning golfer. The only time that happens is when some unknown player that’s like 1% owned wins. So make sure you have a “winner” in your lineups.

Also look at the spreadsheet that I attached above. It has all of the key statistics that I mentioned above. These golfers I have listed here are just some examples. If you look at the spreadsheet and look at the key statistics that I highlighted you can find other good players both for the make the cut category and for the high upside with more risk category.

Good luck!

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