Looking for help with your PGA lineups? In Roosevelt’s Hole In One, we provide our recommended plays for Draft, Drafters, DraftKings and FanDuel for this weekend’s PGA event!
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If you have questions, the best way to reach me is within our Facebook group The DFS Masters.
This group is the only place I answer individual questions about events. We have a discussion thread there. Don’t inbox me on Facebook. I don’t check my messages frequent enough to get back to you in a timely manner
For anything else, you can contact me on Twitter.
Last week, it was pretty much game over for me on DraftKings on day 1. I had Sam Burns in my main lineup and he withdrew on day one due to a back injury after shooting 6 over Par. On Draft, I had a much better weekend. Was able to almost double my entry fees.
This week, the Tour moves on to Dallas, Texas for the AT&T Bryon Nelson event. This is only the 2nd year this event has been held at the Trinity Forest Golf Club so ignore course history older than 2018. I personally will not be looking at course history at all because the sample size is too small for me to even care. The course is a Par 71 that’s almost 7,500 yards. Top 70 and ties advance after round 2 and the MDF rule is in effect.
Here are the key factors I am looking at this week in order of priority:
- Vegas odds to win
- Strokes Gained: Off The Tee
- Strokes Gained: Tee To Green
- Strokes Gained Approach
- Birdie or Better Percentage
- Bogey Avoidance
- Par 5 Scoring
- Strokes Gained: Putting
- Recent Form
Here are the tools that I use this week:
Draft & Drafters Top 10 Plays
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On Draft and Drafters, your primary concern is to draft the best golfers in the field regardless of position. A great way to assess that is to start with Vegas Odds to Win. Then look at the key statistics that are important to you and move golfers up or down as you see fit. Here are my top 10 plays on Draft and Drafters:
- Hideki Matsuyama
- Brooks Koepka
- Marc Leishman
- Jordan Spieth
- Henrik Stenson
- Aaron Wise
- Keith Mitchell
- Patrick Reed
- Sungjae Im
- Rafa Cabrera Bello
DraftKings & FanDuel Plays
On DraftKings and FanDuel salary is important. A player can be a good player but a bad play on DraftKings or FanDuel because of their price. To cash you need to build a lineup that you feel confident that you can get all 6 players through the cut. Look at the key factors that I have listed above and then look at their cut percentages. You want golfers that rarely miss the cut if you are building a lineup to cash. If you are building a lineup to win, you need the winner and you need to get as many golfers in the top 10 as possible. Therefore when building those types of lineups, look for golfers that have high upside. I’m going to give you a list of both types of golfers below. Use this as a starting point for your lineup and then use the spreadsheet and the categories that I highlighted above to fill out the rest of your spots.
Golfers That Should Make The Cut
These are the golfers that I’m targeting with confidence on making the cut:
- Hideki Matsuyama – 11k DK 11.5k FD
- Mark Leishman – 10k DK 10.8k FD
- Sungjae Im – 9.6k DK 10.6k FD
- Rafa Cabrera Bello – 8.6k DK 10.5k FD
- Charles Howell – 8.5k DK 10.4k FD
- Russell Knox – 8k DK 9.2k FD
- Dylan Frittelli – 7.5K DK 8.8k FD
Golfers That Have High Upside
These are the golfers that have more risk but have the potential to exceed their price tag:
- Aaron Wise – 9.4k DK 10.9k FD
- Ryan Moore – 8.8k DK 10.3k FD
- Abraham Ancer – 7.6k DK 9.6k FD
- Troy Merritt – 7.1k DK 8.2k FD
- Adam Schenk – 7k DK 8.5k FD
- DJ Trahan – 6.9k DK 7.7k FD
- Hank Lebioda – 6.7k DK 8.1k FD
When building my lineups one of the things that Kevin Correia taught me is “Who do you have in your lineup that’s going to win?” So in other words, make sure at least one golfer in your lineup is a golfer that you believe can win this event. It’s almost impossible to win a GPP without having the winning golfer. The only time that happens is when some unknown player that’s like 1% owned wins. So make sure you have a “winner” in your lineups.