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Welcome to Euroleague Round 5! Last week was a great week! I have been preaching patience every week and finally patience paid off! I took down my first Euroleague GPP in completely dominating fashion taking the 1st, 2nd and 3rd spots! In addition, I top 10 in every contest I entered and out of more than 30 lineups, only two lineups didn’t cash! I knew we were close because every week we would only be missing one or maybe two players from the winning lineup. Let’s see if we can duplicate our results this week!
We have a four-game slate of Euroleague action this week.
Here’s a breakdown of the 10 teams along with the key statistics that I look at for each team. Included are their odds to win, their implied offensive total, how well their opponent defends against the guard position and how well their opponent defends against the forward position. When building your lineups you want to ideally target a favorite team that has a high implied total with players that play positions where their opponent has a low rank for how they guard that position. It’s a 1 to 16 scale 16 means they give up a lot to that position 1 means they limit that position.
As you can see there are some really good opportunities today such as Saski Baskonia both positions, CSKA Moscow guards and FC Barcelona forwards. There are also some clear spots to limit exposure to such as Byern Forwards and Maccabi Tel Aviv guards.
So now, let’s take a look at the players that we want to consider on this slate:
Top Tier Guards
Nando De Colo $12,800 – De Colo was the top scorer on his slate last week while being the 5th highest owned player. In this outstanding matchup he should be the number one owned player this week. He’s a lock for me in cash games and I’ll have lots of GPP exposure.
Cory Higgins $10,300 – Coming off the bench he’s got a great matchup for CSKA Moscow and he did well last week scoring 29 fantasy points with only 9% ownership. He’s a decent GPP play in this spot due to the matchup.
Scottie Wilbekin $9,700 – Wilbekin missed last week as well as his Israel Super League game earlier this week but is expected to play today. This is a terrible matchup for him. However, I don’t mind some GPP exposure because of how great he’s played prior to the injury.
Sergio Rodriguez $9,700 – The backcourt partner of De Colo also has an outstanding matchup on this slate and he’s the cheaper option of the 3 Moscow guards. At only 5% ownership last week he’s a decent GPP play in this spot due to the matchup.
Nihad Dedovic $9,300 – Byern are huge underdogs this week but it’s the 2nd best spot for guards on this slate. That makes Dedovic a go in all formats. He’s got the 7th highest fantasy points average on the slate but the 9th highest price so we get some value here and in the first week when Byern lost big, he played big.
Vassilis Spaoulis $9,100 – With Streinieks out, I don’t mind Spaoulis as a GPP only option due to potential upside. Olympiakos is short-handed at the guard position and he lead the team in scoring as well as was 3rd in minutes played in his Greece Basketball League game this week.
Mid Tier Guards
Nigel Williams-Goss $8,100 – The matchup is average but Goss has been anything but average. He’s averaging .82 fantasy points per minute giving him a solid floor and making him a must play in cash lineups. I don’t mind GPP exposure but he’s not a must play in GPP as he doesn’t have the ceiling that other players have. With Streinieks out he lead the team in minutes in his Greece Basketball League game earlier this week, increasing his floor even more.
Stefan Jovic $7.900 – He was less than 5% owned last week but scored over 20 fantasy points. Since his price hasn’t gone up all that much and Byern has the 2nd best spot for guards this week, I’m totally fine with going here for GPP contests.
Matt Janning $7,000 – Saski Baskonia is in a fantasy spot all around and at this price point, I love the idea of getting exposure to this spot through Janning with Granger not playing well over the last two games.
Value Tier Guards
Maodo Lo $6,100 – I’ll be paying up for guard for the most part on this slate. However, when I want to go cheap, Lo is where I will be going. Over the last two games he’s gotten close to 20 minutes per game and is average more than a fantasy point per minute in those games.
Top Tier Forwards
Jan Vesely $10,900 – While the matchup isn’t ideal, Fenerbahce are heavy favorites and Vesely has demonstrated a consistent floor in the mid 20s for fantasy production with 40+ upside. He’s in play for all formats this week.
Chris Singleton $10,700 – He’s $200 cheaper than Vesely and has a much better matchup. While I prefer Vesely over Singleton in cash games, Singleton looks like theh better GPP play out of the two this week. I don’t have a problem with him though in any format.
Tornike Shengelia $10,600 – Baskonia has a great matchup this week and Shengelia has consistently demonstrated a solid floor with a ceiling as well. He’s definitely a solid cash play and I like him in GPP as well with this matchup.
Ante Tomic $10,400 – It’s a shame value guard is sparse this week because there are a lot of great options at top tier forward and Tomic is one of them. His team is favorite to win in a plus matchup at the forward position. He’s demonstrated a consistent floor with some upside as well.
Vincent Poirier $10,200 – Once again, yet another solid play at the top tier forward position. He put up over 43 fantasy points in his last matchup. Baskonia has a great matchup this week and he’s a great play to get exposure to in order to take advantage of that matchup.
Michael Eric $9,000 – With so many good options in the top tier, he might actually be my favorite option out of them all. At only 9k he’s averaged 34 fantasy points over the last two games. That’s a steal at this price.
With so many options I like there’s no way I will be able to play Will Clyburn or Nikola Milutinov this week. However, if you want to play them, I have no issue with either one of them as GPP options this week. I would avoid them in cash though, the other players I listed above are much safer options in this price range.
Mid Tier Forwards
Tarik Black $8,000 – I like Black in this spot here. It’s a plus matchup for Forwards. It should be a close game. He’s demonstrated a consistent floor with consistent minutes and you can plug him in for any format, cash or GPP.
Angelo Caloiaro $7,300 – He was terrible last week but he bounced back in his Israel Basketball Super League game this week. I like him as a GPP option. I expect almost no ownership because most Euroleague players don’t research domestic league games. They are just going to look at the bad score last week and stay away.
Value Tier Forwards
Devin Booker $6,600 – He definitely hasn’t made the most out of the minutes that he’s gotten. However, he is getting minutes and at $6,600 that at least puts him in play in GPP for me despite the not so ideal matchup.
Jaka Blazic $5,900 – He was terrible in his Liga ACB game this week but he’s getting minutes and at $5,900 I don’t mind taking some shots with him in GPP.
Danilo Barthel $5,800 – Like his teammate Booker, he hasn’t made the most out of the minutes he’s gotten. However, he is getting minutes and at $5,800 that at least puts him in play in GPP for me. In addition, he went off in his Germany Basketball League game this week scoring 21 points and grabbing 6 rebounds. I like the idea of potentially getting that type of performance at less than 5% ownership which is what he was owned last week.
Sasha Vezenkov $5,600 – He’s easily my favorite option this week out of any position to pay down to. He’s exceeded a fantasy point per minute in 3 out of the 4 games he’s played in Euroleague and he’s been getting solid minutes. I like him in all formats.
Patricio Garino $5,300 – Baskonia has a great matchup this week and at $5,300 I like Garino in all formats.
Axel Toupane $4,800 – He’s got a very low floor, however a very high ceiling in a great matchup for forwards. Definitely someone to get exposure to in GPP this week.
Nikita Kurbanov killed us last week by not playing unexpectedly. He also didn’t play in the VTB United League this week. I would stay far, far away and let other players be the ones crying if he doesn’t play again and he ruins their lineups.