Looking for help with your PGA lineups? In Roosevelt’s Hole In One we provide our recommended plays for Draft, DraftKings and FanDuel for this weekend’s PGA event!
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Last week Xander Schauffele took home the top prize surviving a playoff with Tony Finau. I didn’t have any Xander on any of the sites. However I had Finau on all three sites and he was in my main lineup on DraftKings. That allowed me to dominate over there. I had a -22.6% ROI on Draft. I had a 100% ROI on Fanduel. I had a 284% ROI on DraftKings. All together across the 3 sites I had a 92% ROI for the weekend.
This week, the PGA Tour comes back to the Western Hemisphere to Las Vegas for the Shriners Open! I’m glad! The problem with the Asia events is the lock time is around the same time as NBA which severely hinders my research and lineup building process. Now that we are back to Thursday morning lock times I can go back to building my lineups late at night right before I go to bed.
The CUT is also back with a larger field. Top 70 and ties move on after the 2nd round. The MDF Rule is also in effect so if you have a golfer that barely makes the cut it’s possible that they will only get to play 2 rounds. That means we want to place a stronger emphasis on golfers who make the cut this weekend. This event is played on the TPC Summerlin, a Par 71 course that measures over 7200 yards. With 3 Par 5 holes that puts Par 5 scoring as something to look at this week. The course has looked easy most years with winning scores in the -20s. However, there have been some difficult years as well such as last year where a -9 won it.
Here are the key factors I’m looking at in order of priority:
- Vegas odds to win
- Recent Form
- Course History
- Strokes Gained Approach
- Strokes Gained Off The Tee
- Birdie or Better Percentage
- Par 5 Scoring
- Strokes Gained Putting
- Cuts Made Percentage
Here are the tools I used for research this week:
Draft Top 10 Plays
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On Draft, your primary concern is to draft the best golfers in the field regardless of position. A great way to assess that is to start with Vegas Odds to Win. Going strictly by Vegas Odds these are the top 10 golfers in the field:
- Tony Finau
- Rickie Fowler
- Bryson DeChambeau
- Jordan Spieth
- Webb Simpson
- Patrick Cantlay
- Gary Woodland
- Aaron Wise
- Kevin Na
- Chesson Hadley
I like Finau, Fowler and DeChambeau at the top like Vegas does. My favorite option after those three is definitely Woodland. He’s arguably the best in the field in the stats that I’m looking at. I also like Simpson over Spieth due to his course history here. I also like Hadley over Na.
As for the positions outside of top 10 start off with ranking them by Vegas odds to win. Some golfers you can look to target higher than their Vegas odds include Beau Hossler who I like in the upper part of the Top 15. I like Ryan Palmer in the top 20. I like Austin Cook in the Top 25
DraftKings & FanDuel Top 15 Plays (Floor & Ceiling)
On DraftKings and FanDuel salary is important. A player can be a good player but a bad DraftKings or FanDuel play if the salary is too high. The following list are my top 15 plays on DraftKings and FanDuel. Next to their name I indicate if they are a floor play or a ceiling play. A floor play is a player who should score a decent score even if they don’t win in relation to their salary. A ceiling play is a player who has the potential to score a score that exceeds their salary (or win if they are an expensive player) but also has the potential to post a very low score. You want only floor plays in cash lineups and you want a combination of both in GPPs. I shoot for a minimum of at least 3 floor plays in GPP and am willing to go as high as 5 in some of my lineups. They are sorted by DraftKings salary.
- Tony Finau (Floor & Ceiling) $11,300 DK $12,000 FD
- Webb Simpson (Ceiling) $10,300 DK $11,700 FD
- Gary Woodland (Floor & Ceiling) $9,700 DK $11,600 FD
- Cameron Champ (Ceiling) $9,200 DK $9,200 FD
- Joaquin Niemann (Floor & Ceiling) $8,400 DK $10,800 FD
- Sungjae Im (Floor & Ceiling) $8,000 DK $8,300 FD
- Ryan Palmer (Floor & Ceiling) $7,900 DK $9,900 FD
- Austin Cook (Floor & Ceiling) $7,800 DK $9,600 FD
- Si Woo Kim (Floor & Ceiling) $7,500 DK $9,900 FD
- Kevin Tway (Floor & Ceiling) $7,300 DK $10,700 FD
- Russell Henley (Floor & Ceiling) $7,300 DK$10,000 FD
- Anders Albertson (Floor & Ceiling) $7,000 DK $7,500 FD
- Carlos Ortiz (Ceiling) $6,800 DK $7,700 FD
- Robert Castro (Ceiling) $6,700 DK $8,700 FD
- Corey Conners (Ceiling) $6,600 DK $8,800;FD