PGA Roosevelt’s Hole In One – Tuesday September 18th 2018

Looking for help with your PGA lineups? In Roosevelt’s Hole In One we provide our recommended plays for both Draft and DraftKings for this weekend’s PGA event!

Justin Rose is the odds on favorite to win the Tour Championship

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So this is it!!! This is the final event of the PGA Tour! The PGA Championship! Overall it was a successful season for me. Unless I place high in a tournament this weekend I will finish in the hole on DraftKings. However, my earnings on Draft more than make up for anything that I lost on DraftKings. In fact, last weekend I took down first place in a snake draft tournament so I’m guaranteed to finish overall in the black no matter what happens today. That’s huge considering this is only my 2nd season playing fantasy golf.

This year the Tour Championship takes place at its usual spot, the East Lake Golf Course, which is located in Dekalb County in Georgia. It’s a Par 70 course that’s almost 7,400 yards. You only have 30 golfers participating in this event so that definitely changes the game on how you go about building your lineups on DraftKings. You absolutely need to have the winner in your lineups unless you just completely nail your other 5 picks. Now in Draft it doesn’t matter, you’re still going to build the same way, taking the best available golfer. This is definitely a tough course. The winning score is usually around -12 under par. There is no cut in this event.

Here are the key factors I am looking at in order of priority:

  • Vegas odds to win
  • Strokes Gained Approach
  • Strokes Gained Off The Tee
  • Birdie or Better Percentage
  • Par 4 Scoring
  • Greens In Regulation
  • Strokes Gained Putting
  • Course History
  • Recent Form

Here are the tools I used for research this week:

Chris Durell PGA Spreadsheet

Draft Top 10 Plays

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  1. Justin Rose
  2. Dustin Johnson
  3. Tiger Woods
  4. Justin Thomas
  5. Rory Mcilroy
  6. Brooks Koepka
  7. Tony Finau
  8. Rickie Fowler
  9. Bryson DeChambeau
  10. Hideki Matsuyama

DraftKings Top 10 Cash Plays

  1. Justin Rose – $11,400
  2. Justin Thomas – $10,300
  3. Tiger Woods – $9,500
  4. Rickie Fowler – $9,100
  5. Tony Finau – $8,600
  6. Bryson DeChambeau  – $8,400 (He’s a lock in cash)
  7. Francisco Molinari – $8,200
  8. Tommy Fleetwood – $7,900
  9. Billy Horschel – $7,300
  10. Patrick Cantalay – $7,100

All of these cash plays also make good GPP plays as well. When building your GPP lineups you want to establish a solid floor and these golfers do that. They also have great ceilings as well. Every last one of these golfers has either won one of the last five events or has finished way above their salary value. So there’s nothing wrong with playing a lineup full of them. Just make sure you add some of the other golfers in GPP as well.

DraftKings Top 5 GPP Plays

  1. Dustin Johnson  – $11,300
  2. Hideki Matsuyama – $8,800
  3. Jon Rahm – $7,700
  4. Bubba Watson – $6,500
  5. Keegan Bradley – $6,200

These plays here are GPP only plays because they all have the potential to ruin your lineups but also be difference makers. Johnson and Matsuyama will be low owned this weekend compared to the other golfers in their price range. Rahm, Watson and Bradley will be higher owned. However, their low floors and high ceilings make them classic GPP plays.

Gary Woodland isn’t on my list but he’s playable at $6,700. Not sure if he will make my lineups but I have no issue if you want to play him. I won’t be playing Rory Mcilroy and Brooks Koepka but they are fine if you prefer them over one of the other golfers I listed in their price range. Jason Day is a fade here. He has one of the worst current forms in his price range and his course history is ok but not great enough to make me like him over the other golfers in his range. I won’t be playing Webb Simpson or Xander Schauffele but they are both fine as GPP only plays if you like them. The rest of the field is a complete fade for me.

Good luck!

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