MLB Lineup Card – Thursday August 16th 2018

Looking for advice on who to play in your MLB daily fantasy sports lineups? In today’s edition of MLB Roosevelt’s Lineup Card I break down today’s slate for Drafters, Draft and DraftKings!

Picture by HJ West via Wikipedia Commons

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If you have questions the best way to reach me is by asking your question in our private slack community in our MLB specific chat channel. While I can’t guarantee I will get to your question, the chat is the first place I check for questions so that’s the best way to get me. I rarely if ever check Facebook messenger individual messages so if you’re messaging me there you’re wasting your time. You can also post it within our Facebook group and tag me and if I see it and am free I’ll answer it there as well. If you really really really want one on one help (most of you don’t really need it, just read the article and ask questions in the chat or group), send a tip for $25 and I can give you 15 minutes via one on one chat at a time I’m available which is usually mornings.

My rankings are based on the following criteria:

  • Vegas implied offensive totals and team moneyline.
  • Pitching stats for pitchers I want to play and pitchers I want to pick batters against (i.e. SIERA, K% BB% GB% FB% HC%)
  • Team hitting wOBA verses the handedness of the pitcher they are facing.
  • Individual hitting stats verses the handedness of the pitcher they are facing (i.e. wOBA, ISO, K%, BB%, SB, LD%, GB%, FB%)
  • Stadium tendencies (Hitter Ball Park vs Pitcher Ball Park)
  • Weather
  • Position Scarcity (Snake Drafts Only)
  • Salary (Salary cap sites only)

So it’s been several days since I’ve had the chance to play fantasy baseball. My job has basically tied me to my chair taking phone calls after phone calls. However, we just received word that they are reducing overtime next week so hopefully this is the beginning of the end. I’m a seasonal employee and I am very much looking forward to my season coming to an end until I go back in January. No guarantee that will happen though because they could keep us but we shall see.

In any case, I’m really excited and looking forward to getting back to fantasy baseball. It has been my most profitable sport this season and I’m looking forward to keeping it going today!

We’re going to cover Drafters, Draft and ALL slates on DraftKings today. I don’t have to work overtime today so I have some time to really dig into today’s slate.

Weather Spots To Watch

Toronto vs Kansas City – This is the one that we have to watch. The problem with this game is that the storms aren’t suppose to come until AFTER the game starts so there’s really NO WAY  for you to know what’s going to happen. The game could be ok, however, it could also end up having a delay or even a PPD. I would recommend completely fading this game on all snake draft sites as it’s not worth the risk. I also recommend fading this game in cash. In GPP you can definitely take a chance as both teams have bats in good spots. However, make sure that you have lineups where you fade it as well.

There are other games with small potentials for issue that I will list below. However, at this time I won’t be doing anything different with any of these games:

  • Chicago vs Pittsburgh
  • Washington vs St Louis
  • Colorado vs Atlanta
  • Detroit vs Minnesota

Follow Kevin Roth (KevinRothWx) on Twitter for all the latest updates on weather.

Drafters Top 10 Plays

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  1. Masahiro Tanaka – P (1:05 slate only)
  2. Bryce Harper – CF/RF
  3. Shin-Soo Choo – RF
  4. Rhys Hoskins – LF/1B
  5. Paul Goldschmidt – 1B
  6. Rougned Odor – 2B
  7. Matt Carpenter – 3B/1B
  8. Javier Baez – SS/2B
  9. Yadier Molina – C
  10. Clay Buchholz – P

If you happen to be playing in a contest where DH is allowed Shohei Ohtani is obviously the number one option on the slate. However, most of the default contests do not allow DH, which is why he’s not listed here. If you’re not afraid of the weather, Salvador Perez is actually the number one catcher on the slate. I’m fading that game though. This is also a good day to take advantage on Drafters as the default rankings are pretty bad today. If you catch someone who is not drafting live you could take advantage. If you’re not playing the full game slate, save pitcher for last and make Bryce Harper your number one play.

Draft Top 10 Plays

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  1. Masahiro Tanaka – P (1:05 slate only)
  2.  Shohei Ohtani – IF
  3. Shin-Soo Choo – OF
  4. Bryce Harper – OF
  5. Giancarlo Stanton  – OF (1:05 slate only)
  6. Rhys Hoskins – OF
  7. Paul Goldschmidt – IF
  8. Rougned Odor – IF
  9. Matt Carpenter – IF
  10. Clay Buchholz – P

If you noticed I have Cho higher than Harper on Draft. This is where position eligibility comes into play in rankings. Harper has CF eligibility on Drafters, which increases his value there. However, on Draft, they both play OF and straight up Cho is the better play.

DraftKings Plays

1:05pm Early Slate

On the early slate, Tanaka and Snell are the #1 and #2 plays. However, I’m not really a fan of playing both against each other with the exception of a handful of lineups. Therefore, I recommend pairing one of them with either Suarez or Oswalt. Suarez is the better play over Oswalt but if you’re playing multiple lineups in GPP I have no issue with getting some exposure to Oswalt.

For the bats, Philadelphia is in the best spot. Lefties have a much better matchup than righties but I don’t mind playing righties either. I would avoid any hitter with lower than a .330 wOBA unless they are a lefty. Yankees are in the 2nd best spot but nowhere near as good as the Phillies. I would fade all lefties on the Yankees completely. For righties, I would focus on the top 3 bats, Hicks, Stanton and Andujar, as well as Torres. The rest, I would fade. Mets are 3rd. I would pretty much focus on the batters with the highest wOBA and ISO. However, because they are playing a minor league pitcher, anybody is in play here. The Rays are last. I would limit exposure to them. However, if I do play anybody, it would most likely be righties.

7:05pm Main Slate

Pitchers

  • Clay Buchholz – $9,500
  • Jon Gray – $8,700
  • Tanner Roark – $9,100
  • Ervin Santana – $7,000
  • Luke Weaver – $7,100
  • Taylor Cole – $4,000

Batters

  • Texas 1-9 in play. Shin-Soo Cho0 (OF $5,100) a core hitting play tonight.
  • Los Angeles Angels 1-9 in play. Shohei Ohtani (OF $5,200) a core hitting play tonight.
  • Minnesota all righties are in play today. Lefties should be faded.
  • Toronto 1-9 in play in GPP only due to weather.
  • Kansas City 1-9 in play in GPP only due to weather.
  • St Louis, I only have interest in Matt Carpenter (1B/3B $5,400)
  • Chicago Cubs lefties are a very strong play today. Righties are a decent play especially high ISO bats but not as good as the lefties.
  • Colorado lefties are a very strong play today. Righties are a decent play especially high ISO bats but not as good as the lefties.
  • Arizona, I would stick to batters with a .350 wOBA or higher only.
  • Atlanta lefties are in play. Righties are a fade unless Marcel Ozuna plays. You can play him
  • Pittsburgh lefties are a very strong play today. Righties I’m not crazy about but righty batters with a .170 or greater ISO you can play.
  • Washington lefties are absolutely in play tonight. Righties are a complete fade.
  • Detroit can honestly go either way tonight. They could be shut down completely or they could smash Santana. If you play them, I would stick to mini or full stack lineups as oppose to one offs.
  • San Diego righties are in play tonight. Lefties are a complete fade.

Finally, if you’re playing the night slate, pitching is terrible tonight. No one is safe. I would rank them Santana, Lirano, Cole, Gaviglio, Sparkman and Jurado in that order.

Good luck!

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