Looking for advice on who to play in your MMA lineups? In today’s edition of MMA Roosevelt’s Scouting Report I break down Saturday’s slate for UFC Fight Night!
If this article helps you have success, please feel free to leave me a tip!
If you have questions the best way to reach me is by asking your question in our private slack community in our MMA specific chat channel. While I can’t guarantee I will get to your question, the chat is the first place I check for questions so that’s the best way to get me. I rarely if ever check Facebook messenger individual messages so if you’re messaging me there you’re wasting your time. You can also post it within our Facebook group and tag me and if I see it and am free I’ll answer it there as well. If you really really really want one on one help (most of you don’t really need it, just read the article and ask questions in the chat or group), send a tip for $25 and I can give you 15 minutes via one on one chat at a time I’m available which is usually mornings.
It’s UFC Fight Night live from Boise, Idaho! Last week for Fight Week I completely got my tail kicked! That’s a part of the game. Fantasy MMA is the sport with the highest amount of variance so you have to factor that into the equation. Almost everybody I said to fade on the Saturday card won! It happens! However, if you’re practicing good bankroll management you can survive those situations and keep it moving. That’s what I will be doing this weekend, keeping it moving.
MMA contests have been filling up faster than before. That’s one of the reasons why I moved this article up in the schedule. I would highly recommend locking your contests in as early as possible. This way you don’t miss out on the best contests.
This Idaho card seems pretty straight forward. I think there are some very clear fighters to target and some very clear fighters to avoid. However this is mixed martial arts. Anything can happen so keep that in mind.
How I Rank Fighters
My rankings are based on the following criteria
- Odds to win the fight.
- DraftKings scoring average last 5 fights
- Draftkings career scoring average.
- Odds to win inside the distance.
- UFC fan picks at UFC.com/fantasy
- Significant strikes landed per minute
- Average takedowns landed per fight
I have a spreadsheet with a formula that I built based on these factors. Each fighter has an overall rank from 1 to 24. Top 6 fighters go in the Elite category. 7-12 are in the Good category. 13-19 are in the Fair category. 20-26 go in the Fade/High Risk category.
Here are the fighters as ranked by my formula:
Elite Plays – Fighters good for all formats and good for lots of exposure to.
- Alexander Volanovski – $9,200
- Junior Dos Santos – $8,700
- Dennis Bermudez – $9,000
- Chad Mendes – $8,900
- Sage Northcutt – $8,400
- Kurt Holobaugh – $8,800
Good Plays – Fighters good for all formats but less exposure than the elite plays. Also can serve as GPP pivots from elite fighters who should be higher owned.
- Alejandro Perez – $9,100
- Niko Price – $7,900
- Said Nurmagomedov – $8,500
- Elias Garcia – $8,600
- Jodie Esquibel – $8,300
- Liz Carmouche – $8,200
Fair Plays – These fighters make good cash plays if they have a low salary ($7,700 or less). Otherwise, they should be used as GPP pivots only.
- Randy Brown – $8,300
- Cat Zingano – $8,100
- Justin Scoggins – $7,700
- Myles Jury – $7,300
- Marion Reneau – $8,100
- Mark De La Rosa – $7,600
- Blagoy Ivanov – $7,500
Fades/High Risk Plays – Do not play any of these fighters in cash! Do not play any of these fighters if you are playing less than 20 GPP lineups. If you are playing more than 20 GPP lineups you can get low exposure if you want to but limit your exposure to the fighters listed here.
- Zak Ottow – $7,800
- Jessica Aguilar – $7,900
- Uriah Hall – $6,800
- Darren Elkins – $7,000 (I do like him as a GPP hedge though if you are playing a lot of Volanovski.)
- Jennifer Maia – $8,000
- Raoni Barcelos – $7,400
- Rick Glenn – $7,200